Nintendo has released what industry analysts are describing as a "conservative" sales forecast for the Nintendo Switch 2 amid uncertainties related to ongoing tariffs. In its financial report this morning, Nintendo projected sales of 15 million units of the Switch 2 and 45 million game copies for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The eagerly awaited Switch 2 is set to hit the shelves on June 5.
Nintendo's forecast is based on the assumption that the U.S. tariff rates introduced on April 10 will remain unchanged throughout its fiscal year. However, the company acknowledged that fluctuations in these tariffs could impact their projections. "We will continue to monitor the situation to respond to changes in market conditions," Nintendo stated.
Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights at Niko Partners, labeled the 15 million sales target as "conservative." In a tweet, Ahmad noted that Nintendo is likely taking into account the unpredictability surrounding tariffs, pricing, and production, despite the strong momentum from pre-orders. He further elaborated that Nintendo might revise its forecast upward if the tariff situation improves, but emphasized that the existing effects from tariffs are already complicating the console's launch environment. Additionally, the threat of increased tariffs looms large.
It's noteworthy that achieving 15 million sales in the first year would position the Switch 2 among the most successful console launches in history, surpassing the original Switch's first-year sales of 14.87 million units.
AnswerSee ResultsDemand for the Switch 2 appears to be exceptionally high. Following a delay caused by tariffs, pre-orders for the console, priced at $449.99, opened on April 24 and were met with overwhelming response. Nintendo has also issued a caution to U.S. customers who pre-ordered through the My Nintendo Store, indicating that release date delivery is not guaranteed due to the intense demand.
For more detailed information on securing a Nintendo Switch 2, check out IGN's comprehensive Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide.
